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death and destruction have understandably engendered bitterness,
anger, frustration, and even hatred between the two peoples. A majority of Palestinians have, at least at times, voiced
approval of attacks against civilians in Israel.1
And, according to some recent polls, nearly half of Israeli
Jews favor the expulsion or "transfer" of the Palestinian
population from the West Bank and the Gaza Strip.2 Yet, despite the mounting toll of the violence and the
alienation it brings, there are, remarkably, other currents
flowing through Israeli and Palestinian public opinion.
Polls suggest that nearly 60% of the Israeli public believes
that a military withdrawal from the West Bank and Gaza
and the dismantling of most Israeli settlements in those
areas would lead to peace with the Palestinians. The
same percentage believes that only negotiations and not
military force can end terrorism and achieve security
for Israel. A majority of Israelis, moreover, are willing
to see an international peacekeeping force installed in
the West Bank and Gaza to provide greater stability and
security.3
Among
Palestinians there are prominent critics of the suicide
bombings. Polls consistently show that 60% or 70% of
the West Bank-Gaza public favors a cease-fire with Israel
and new peace negotiations.4
But
the most remarkable development in Palestinian opinion
is the growing chorus of voices calling for the reform
of Palestinian politics, for new elections, and for fundamental
changes in the structure of the Palestinian Authority
and its policies.5
From all of
these developments it is clear that sizable majorities
of both Israelis and Palestinians believe that the policies
and actions of their respective leaderships have carried
them into a downward spiral of violence and suffering
that serves no purpose. These Palestinians and Israelis
are open to constructive change, but they will need sensitive,
adroit, and firm support from the United States and others
in the international community if they are to escape the
downward spiral and move toward peace.
What
might the U.S. and other nations do to help? What can
Friends and others do to encourage constructive policies?
The answers to these questions rest in an understanding
of how the Oslo peace process, begun in 1993, became a
process that produced stalemate and violence instead of
peace.
This
analysis was prepared for FCNL by Jim Fine. Jim, a former
Quaker International Affairs Representative for the Middle
East, served as the director of the Friends Schools at
Ramallah and el-Bireh during the 1998-99 school year.
He is an international student advisor at the University
of Pennsylvania. During the summer of 2002, Jim visited
the Middle East as a member of an international Quaker
working party on the Israel-Palestine conflict facilitated
by the American Friends Service Committee's Middle East
Working Group.
Preparation of this FCNL
Perspectives paper has been funded in part by a
grant to the FCNL Education Fund made by the Kirk-Plumsock
Trust of the Willistown Friends Meeting.
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